HOME   NEWS   SPECIAL REPORT   PHOTO   COMMENTARY   VOICE   LEARNING CHINESE
NEWS > Technology
Research: Climate is too complex for accurate predictions
2007-10-25 12:37:41 Xinhua English

WASHINGTON, Oct. 25 (Xinhua) -- A new study published Thursday in U.S. journal Science shows that climate researchers will not be able to further refine estimates of the climates sensitivity to anthropogenic influences.

Despite decades of ever more-exacting science projecting Earth's warming climate, there remains large uncertainty about just how much warming will actually occur, said two University of Washington scientists.

This finding could encourage policy makers to begin making climate-related decisions instead of waiting for better analyses, said the scientific journal.

Scientists believe the uncertainty remains so high because the climate system itself is very sensitive to a variety of factors, such as increased greenhouse gases or a higher concentration of atmospheric particles that reflect sunlight back into space.

In essence, they found that the more likely it is that conditions will cause climate to warm, the more uncertainty exists about how much warming there will be.

They devised and tested a theory they believe can help climate modelers and observers understand the range of probabilities from various factors, or feedbacks, involved in climate change.

For climate change, "uncertainty and sensitivity have to go hand in hand. They're inextricable," said Gerard Roe, one of the study author.

MORE NEWS
NATO defense ministers agree to work on cyber defense  
NASA's sea-viewing satellite detects climate change  
BlackBerry phones on sale by December  
SMIC's deal no flash in the pan  
China may skip phone generation  
China's first lunar probe completes first orbital transfer  
Expert: China far from manned moon landing  
Research center to save biggest freshwater lake  

SINA English is the English-language destination for news and information about China. Find general information on life, culture and travel in China through our news and special reportsˇAor find business partners through our online Business Directory. For investment opportunities with SINA, please click the link "Investor" below.
| About SINA | Investor | Media Kit | Comments or Question? |
Copyright © 1996-SINA Corporation, All Rights Reserved