Poll: Obama tied with Romney among likely voters

2012-10-30 09:02:59 GMT2012-10-30 17:02:59(Beijing Time)  SINA.com

U.S. President Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney are tied among likely voters in a national poll released eight days before Election Day.

The Oct. 24-28 survey by the Pew Research Center found Obama and the former governor of Massachusetts each supported by 47 percent, a slight gain for the president from an Oct. 4-7 Pew poll that showed Romney ahead, 49 percent to 45 percent.

The poll of 1,495 likely voters released yesterday has an error margin of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

An ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll also had the race a dead heat at 49 percent for each candidate. In the survey, 66 percent said Obama’s policies would favor the middle class while 53 percent said Romney’s policies would favor the wealthy. The Oct. 25-28 survey of 1,259 likely voters had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Gallup’s daily tracking poll of about 2,700 likely voters showed Romney ahead, 51 percent to 46 percent. The survey, taken Oct. 22-28, had a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

In the Pew poll, Obama led, 50 percent to 44 percent, among likely women voters, while Romney led, 51 percent to 44 percent, among men. The earlier poll found Obama and Romney tied among women while Romney led by 8 points among men.

The president had a 13-point edge among women and a 1-point advantage among men in the 2008 election exit polls.

"Too Close"

"This thing is too close to call," said Michael Dimock, associate director of the Washington-based Pew Research Center. “Romney got a big bump out of the first debate and while the public assessments of the next two debates were more favorable to Obama, it didn’t undo the gains Romney made.”

Obama and Romney initially faced off in an Oct. 3 debate, followed by encounters on Oct. 16 and Oct. 22. Thirty-six percent of 1,678 registered voters surveyed as part of the Pew poll said this year’s debates led them to have a better opinion of Romney compared with 18 percent for Obama.

In the closely contested state of Florida, Romney had a one-point lead over Obama among likely voters, 50 percent to 49 percent, in a CNN/ORC International poll taken Oct. 25-28. The poll of 770 likely voters had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Romney also had a one-point lead in a CNN survey taken Oct 17-18.


Editor: Mei Jingya
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